Significant Market Shift in Melbourne Cup after $201 Surprise and Key Lead-Up Victory

Significant Market Shift in Melbourne Cup after 1 Surprise and Key Lead-Up Victory
Significant Market Shift in Melbourne Cup after 1 Surprise and Key Lead-Up Victory

The Biggest Movers in Melbourne Cup Betting

Bookmakers have been closely monitoring the Melbourne Cup betting market, and some horses have seen significant changes in their odds since last year’s race. Let’s take a look at the biggest movers ahead of the 163rd edition of the race.

Vauban: The Firm Favorite

One horse that has seen a dramatic change in odds is Vauban. Originally priced at $51, the Willie Mullins-trained international raider has firmed into $3.50 after drawing barrier 3. Vauban now accounts for a whopping 17% of TAB’s hold on the Melbourne Cup and 25% of investments since the barrier draw.

Gold Trip: A Strong Contender

Last year’s Melbourne Cup winner, Gold Trip, has also experienced a significant shift in odds. Initially priced at $18, Gold Trip is now the clear second pick in betting at $5. This horse accounts for nine percent of TAB’s book overall and since the barrier draw.

Military Mission: A Surprising Rise

The biggest mover from the opening market is Herbert Power Stakes winner Military Mission. Starting as a $201 chance, this Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott-trained galloper has firmed into $34 after drawing barrier five. Military Mission’s odds have attracted four percent of investments.

Without A Fight: A Change in Fortunes

The Caulfield Cup winner Without A Fight started as a $26 chance but eased to $8 after drawing barrier 16. However, punters have rallied for this Anthony and Sam Freedman-trained galloper, and he has firmed back into $7.

Other Notable Movers

Several other horses have seen changes in their odds since the barrier draw. Soulcombe, trained by Chris Waller, has firmed from $12 to $10 and accounts for 11 percent of TAB’s book. Japanese raider Breakup has gone from $19 to $17 and takes up six percent of the TAB fixed odds hold. Absurde has stayed at $21 but has received five percent of investments, while Vow And Declare, the 2019 winner and eight-year-old veteran, is a $26 chance and accounts for four percent of bets.


The Melbourne Cup betting market has seen significant movements in odds for several horses. Vauban and Gold Trip have emerged as strong contenders, while Military Mission and Without A Fight have surprised with their rise in odds. Punters are eagerly awaiting the race to see how these horses perform on the day.

Quote from the Author

“The Melbourne Cup is always an exciting event for horse racing enthusiasts. The fluctuations in odds for these horses show just how unpredictable the race can be. It’s a thrilling time for punters as they analyze the form and make their bets.” –

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