The Valley preview and tips: Best bet in the last

The return of reigning The Everest champion Giga Kick headlines racing at The Valley on Saturday, September 9.

Showers are forecast on Friday and Saturday, so we could see a downgrade from the early Good 4 rating.

The rail returns to the true position, which will likely make it a bit easier for the backmarkers to get involved.

Race-by-race preview, tips and best bets for the 10-race card below.

Autumn Angel (7) won with authority over 1300m first-up and shouldn’t have any issues with the extra 200m here. The horse she beat, Delivering, has form around some nice horses (Snow Patrol, Brave Mead). 

Fistsoffury (3) was plain here last time but didn’t enjoy the best run in a race of little change (first two out were the first two home). He’ll stalk the leader from the inside gate in this and has solid claims on his 3rd to Rheinberg on resumption.

Apulia (1) looked good breaking his maiden at Cranbourne last start. This is obviously much harder but he was competitive against some very handy types in his first preparation.

Dual Pressure (4) ran well at monster odds here last start and maps for an economical run on the back of the pacesetters. 

VERDICT: Autumn Angel (7) for the win. 

Galactic Fury (9) hit the front over 1500m at Sandown Lakeside last start before being run down by a real talent in Poison Chalice. It looks good enough form for this and he maps nicely from barrier four. His Valley record (4:0-0-0) leaves a bit to be desired but he should be peaking after four runs back over shorter trips.

Blazerro (3) is racing well and should settle in the first three from the inside gate. The stable will be hoping the rain stays away given he’s only missed a place twice in nine good track runs.

Oubitsa (14) was sound over this trip last start and gets Kah from a good gate. 

Place Of Gold (7) gets blinkers for the first time after finishing 2nd to the flying Rheinberg last start. The rise to the mile off a 31-day break is the main query with him. 

VERDICT: Like Galactic Fury (9) at $9. BEST VALUE

Magnaspin (4) was beaten as favourite here last start but his effort was good. Stepping up to 2500m for the first time, Williams let him roll in front and the first three really went along, setting the race up for Duke Of Hastings to slice through from midfield. The other on-pacers knocked up but Magnaspin battled on gamely and the drop back to 2040m is no knock from the ideal gate.

La Spezia (14) is a tease but she’s worth a saver at double-figure odds given two of her four wins have come at this track. She gets in light after Hefel’s claim and can settle closer than last time from barrier five.

Superstock (5) settled just off the speed before taking over for a nice win over this route last time. It’s a different set-up here from barrier 11 but he’s more progressive than most of his rivals in this. 

Alors Tu Crois (6) was a last-start winner here and has drawn favourably again. 

VERDICT: Magnaspin (4) should take plenty of running down. 

Recommendation (5) was taken back here last start and that was the difference between winning and losing. He rattled home late but just fell short behind Maximillius who enjoyed a picnic out in front. It was a lovely return and he should atone here with a more positive ride from barrier four. He’s 2 from 2 when second-up. 

Savannah Cloud (2) never runs a bad race and loves it here at The Valley (6:2-3-0). Recommendation probably has more upside than him (only 7 starts to his name) but you know exactly what you’re going to get from this guy every start (on-pace and will keep fighting). 

Corner Pocket (1) resumes with a tongue tie on for the first time. He flopped last start but that’s a rarity for him and he’s yet to miss a place in six first-up starts. He’s a two-time winner at this track/distance.

WA galloper Gemma’s Son (6) comes across in good form and gets Jamie Kah for her Valley debut. 

VERDICT: Recommendation (5) to atone for last time. 

Brave Mead (3) has drawn the outside gate in the small field, which may force Zahra to be aggressive out of the gates. The Brave Smash colt led all the way when winning over this route last campaign, backing up his dominant maiden win with another romp. He had excuses on a Heavy 8 track in the G1 Sires’ (1400m) in Sydney last start.

Steparty (4) hasn’t put a foot wrong in three starts to date, romping home over this distance two-back before repeating the dose over 1420m. He comes into this on the fresh side but a 1000m trial on a Heavy 9 should certainly have him fit enough to figure from barrier four. 

Introducing (6) will race in the first couple from barrier two and should find The Valley to his liking. He should be nearing peak fitness third-up.

Amur (1) finished 4th but was beaten less than a length here on resumption. He’d won 2 from 2 at this track prior to that and maps for a soft run on the fence.

VERDICT: Brave Mead (3) just ahead of Steparty (mostly price-related). 

Right To Party (7) was huge in defeat here last start when coming from a hopeless position to run 3rd. She went back to last from the outside gate and only had one horse behind her at the 400m but rattled late off a little freshen following a Queensland campaign. Zahra jumps on and she should be able to settle much closer from barrier five.

Charm Stone (1) is probably the most talented filly in the race but barrier nine over 1200m at The Valley means she’s likely to be spotting the leaders a decent start. There was plenty to like about her first-up win at Caulfield in slick time. 

Pride Of Sullivan (10) almost landed some monster bets here last start, just missing behind Lakota Fire. She’s drawn nicely and should be thereabouts again.

Treasurway (2) could be the blowout horse. She resumes having jumped out nicely behind none other than Giga Kick. 

VERDICT: Right To Party (7) for the win. 

Berkeley Square (7) should be ready to put his best foot forward third-up over 2040m. He appeared to have his chance last time but the two who beat him home, Jimmy The Bear and Right You Are, are both very tough customers. He’s drawn nicely and a bit of juice in the track won’t hurt his chances.

Future History (11) was well-ridden to score over this route last start when Hefel was able to control the race from outside the leader. You would imagine he’ll roll forward again here.

Gold Trip (1) has claims if the track is genuinely rain-affected. He was good when resuming over 1800m last preparation and 2040m suits even better. 

Jimmy The Bear (8) just keeps turning up and running well. The Payne-trained 5YO spells on the float. 

VERDICT: Berkeley Square (7) or it’s wide-open. 

The small field and the rail returning to the true position should see Giga Kick (1) make a winning return here. Williams will likely settle the gun sprinter in the last couple from barrier six but he won’t let the speedsters get too far away. Last year’s Everest winner has trialled well and it’s easy to forget that he’s only got two preps under his belt and is open to further improvement.

Imperatriz (5) has an awkward gate, even in the small field, but the gun Kiwi has experience at The Valley – winning the G1 William Reid Stakes (1200m) prior to going for a break. She absolutely flies fresh (5:4-1-0) and has only lost once in nine starts on good ground. The trip is the main query given she’s never raced over 1000m.

Rothfire (2) has won 5 from 8 when fresh and won this race last year when stalking the leaders, as he maps to here with Zoustyle and Acromantula drawn on his inside. He’s as tough as old boots and gets the services of Blake Shinn.

Zoustyle (3) has speed to burn and looks the likely leader from barrier two. He led for a long way in this event last year and was good running 3rd in the G1 Moir Stakes (1200m) here. 

VERDICT: Giga Kick (1) worth a punt at $1.90+. 

Attrition (13) was good first-up considering the run he had. He was posted wide throughout from barrier 11 but stuck on gamely to cross the line with Tuvalu, just over 2L from Mr Brightside who has won a Group 1 since. The Mitch Freedman-trained galloper just missed over this trip in the G1 Australian Guineas two-back.

Globe (11) is a very exciting prospect – winning 4 from 4 – but this is a significant step up and sub-$3 certainly seems short enough from the tricky gate. If he wins this, he’s definitely going to be a major player at Group 1 level this spring.

Pounding (6) looks the overs in the race stepping up to 1600m. He was solid enough on resumption and always improves with racing (5:0-2-0 first-up record). He’s a two-time winner over The Valley mile.

Deny Knowledge (15) has come back in terrific order, backing up a smart trial with a dominant first-up win over 1519m here. The worry for her here is the amount of competition for the lead – Tuvalu, Savatoxl, Globe.

VERDICT: Attrition (13) on top in an open affair. 

Rambler Rebel looks the obvious leader from barrier one and Hennessy Lad (10) should roll across to race one-off the rail in second. The Moody-trained gelding was strong through the line when winning over this route last time and there’s no reason why he can’y show further improvement fourth-up. This is a rise in grade but he drops from 59kg to 54kg after Hefel’s claim.

Ain’tnodeeldun (9) was fair without threat in a hot form race on resumption. He was a strong winner over 2040m here three-back and he has won second-up previously.

Rambler Rebel (14) is a peculiar galloper who seems to either win or struggle to beat a runner home, with very little in between. He should lead here from barrier one and could prove hard to run down if Payne is left alone in front.

First Immortal (6) has looked awesome winning his last couple at Flemington. The Valley is a different kettle of fish but he’s very versatile in terms of his racing pattern. 

VERDICT: Hennessy Lad (10) should prove hard to beat. BEST BET


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